- Political turmoil in the Arab world is a complicating factor;
- the Iranian government is in trouble with its own citizens and internally divided;
- the new Israeli anti-missile systems, such as Iron Dome, are working better than expected;
- the Iranian nuclear program is too decentralized for an attack to be very effective;
- the Obama administration is adamantly opposed;
- the Israeli government is itself divided, with several former heads of the army and Mossad publicly opposing a strike;former Mossad chief Meir Dagan called the plan to launch an air strike against Iran "the stupidest thing I have ever heard."
Friday, May 13, 2011
Will Israel Attack Iran?
Last year people I respect were worrying that an Israeli attack on Iranian nuclear facilities was imminent, but now I am seeing reports everywhere that suggest there will be no attack. Among the reasons given:
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