Hillary Clinton holds a double-digit lead over Donald Trump, according to a new national poll.But here's the real problem number for Trump:
The Democrat and former Secretary of State is ahead of Trump, the presumptive Republican presidential nominee, by 12 points, results of a new Bloomberg Politics poll show. Clinton leads Trump 49% to 37% among likely voters in November’s election.
The same poll found 55% of those surveyed said they could never vote for Trump.So far this seems to be a real phenomenon, as Trump keeps doing things every week to remind people what a potential troublemaker he is. Three or four people in my neighborhood have put up yard signs that say, IDK Not Trump Tho. I live in the sort of moderate suburb that often ends up deciding elections, and if my non-Democrat neighbors can't support Trump that bodes poorly for him. I also read recently that Trump is polling so badly among Mormons that he and Hillary are neck and neck in Utah, of all places; since both Trump and Hillary only have 20% approval ratings in Utah, some people are speculating that Libertarian Gary Johnson might win the state. The Bloomberg poll also finds that Hillary's supporters are more enthusiastic about their candidate.
But then there's this reminder of how strange the American electorate can be:
However, the real estate mogul narrowly beats out Clinton 50% to 45% when those polled were asked which candidate is stronger in combatting terrorist threats at home and abroad.Somehow, despite all the weirdness about him, Trump projects "strength," and that alone will get him millions of votes. And this:
Just 19% of those polled believe the U.S. is on the right track. Still, President Barack Obama’s job-approval rating stood at 51%.That "right track/wrong track" question is one of the better predictors of how people will vote, and 19% positive is a terrible number for the incumbent party. But at least most people don't seem to be blaming it on the president.