Monday, November 12, 2018

Not Much Interest in the Economy

Robert Samuelson:
One lesson of the midterm elections is that economic growth is losing its power to unite the country and to reduce explosive conflicts over race, religion, ethnicity, immigrant status and sexuality. . . .

Despite many problems, the economy in 2016 seemed strong enough to put Hillary Clinton in the White House. When voters went to the polls, the unemployment rate was 4.6 percent, annual inflation was only 1.7 percent and median household income had increased 5 percent in 2015 from 2014. Nope, not enough.

Similarly — and despite the usual midterm bias against the party of the incumbent president — the economy seemed healthy enough to help Republicans retain control of the House in last week’s election. Unemployment was lower than in 2016 (3.7 percent), inflation was only a tad higher (2.3 percent). Median income has continued to advance. Nope, not enough.
It does strike me as interesting that the economy did not help Republican more this time, but that is hardly new: Nixon beat the sitting vice president in 1968, a year of economic boom, because the Vietnam War and cultural upheaval overwhelmed economic concerns. Which makes me wonder: what is it about our time that is intensifying political divisions? We have no issue like the Vietnam War to fuel the fires, but partisan hatred seems to be at record levels.

Some liberals think the underlying issue is white angst about becoming a minority, exacerbated by having a black man in the White House. I remain unconvinced; it just doesn't seem to me that racism is any worse than it has been throughout my lifetime. There is certainly economic uncertainly and unfairness, but, again, this does not seem to me to have gotten worse, and if this were the driver you would think our current economic boom would help.

I keep going back to the intense, widespread anxiety that seems to pervade our society. I find this deeply mysterious; I just can't see any reason why more people should be crippled by anxiety than ever before. If somebody figured out that the cause was some ubiquitous chemical, I would not be surprised, because nothing else makes sense to me. But wherever it comes from I think that when added to our already existing partisan divides over race, sex, sexuality, the economy and so on the result is the level of hate and fear that we suffer from now.

1 comment:

G. Verloren said...

"Some liberals think the underlying issue is white angst about becoming a minority, exacerbated by having a black man in the White House. I remain unconvinced; it just doesn't seem to me that racism is any worse than it has been throughout my lifetime. There is certainly economic uncertainly and unfairness, but, again, this does not seem to me to have gotten worse, and if this were the driver you would think our current economic boom would help."

As you yourself have stated before, people are emotional in politics more than they are rational. Racism might not actually be worse than it was before - indeed, we might even have objectively improved in that area - but if people FEEL like racism is worse, that's all that matters.

Consider issues like domestic abuse, or drug addiction. Over time, the number of cases of each issue have declined significantly, but simultaneously the problems themselves have become better reported and more visible. What were previously issues people never really thought or talked about, even when they were everywhere all around us, have now become matters of intense discussion and concern, even while they are the decline.

Racism might be at the lowest point its ever been in this country for all I know, but awareness of racism may just as easily be higher than ever. In particular, it seems that awareness among privileged whites has reached record levels, creeping into portions of the culture that previously had little to no awareness at all.

Thirty years ago in much of America, white people may have been more racist, but they didn't think of themselves as being racist, or even that racism really existed. In their minds, it was just the natural order of the world. The only people who might ever have accused them or their actions of being racist were "coastal liberal elites", and why should a Good Ol' Boy from Memphis or a steel worker from Detroit care about the opinion of some crazy New Yorker or San Franciscan who is probably a lazy fatcat gay communist Jew who hates Freedom?

But now, they're being called out on their actions with much greater frequency, and with much more tenacity than they ever faced before. They no longer just watch a dozen TV channels, read two newspapers, and talk only to people who live in their own hometown area, allowing them to remain insulated from unpleasant criticisms. Now they're online, able to be criticized by anyone, anywhere. Now mainstream media has begun to comment on issues of race more openly and more liberally, where before they turned a blind eye and remained neutral. Now the racists who had never been challenged on their racism are being taken to task, and they don't like it.