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A Historical Fantasy
An Archaeological Mystery
A Historical Fantasy
An Archaeological Mystery
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2022
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April
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- Links 29 April 2022
- Can Your Kids Handle Dangerous Ideas?
- Evelyn Ackerman
- Henry Louis Gates Jr. against "Staying in Your Lane"
- Amazon's Proposed HQ Building for Pen Place, Arlin...
- Thomas Piketty on How History Changed in the 20th ...
- Oh, the Eighteenth Century
- Cuenca, Spain
- More on Adolescent Mental Health
- Links 22 April 2022
- Daniel Kehlman, "Tyll"
- Spring in the Catonsville Woods
- More Ukraine Links
- Kanamori Yoshio
- Links 15 April 2022
- Young People These Days
- Francis Fukuyama: Liberalism Needs Nationalism
- NY Times Focus Group with Conservative Men
- In France, Ongoing Political Realignment
- Purple Martins at the Nashville Symphony
- Heteropessimism and the Trouble with Freedom
- Links 8 April 2022
- Ireland's Entry in the Suffering Sweepstakes
- Interview with Sergey Karaganov about the Ukraine War
- Compost
- Coercive Diplomacy Gone Wrong
- Ukraine Links Update 3 April 2022
- The House with Chimaeras
- Links 1 April 2022
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April
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About Me
- John
- John Bedell is an archaeologist, historian, and father of five living in Maryland. He has self-published two novels and is writing a third.
1 comment:
Interesting. I wonder what the influencing factors are.
Americans aged 18-29 were all born after the fall of the Soviet Union. That seems significant.
Most of them probably can't find Ukraine on an unlabeled map, sadly - and a decent number probably can't find Russia either. Most of them probably don't know anything of substance about the politics of the region during their lifetimes. Most of them probably don't know or care much at all about the Cold War either.
There's also the simple matter of who pays more attention to the news - not a lot of college kids spend their evenings reading the Associated Press, rather than drinking until they black out. And there's also the matter of where they get their news from - young generations that primarily get their news from social media are inherently more susceptible to misinformation campaigns.
I also wonder how much wiggle room exists in the "not sure" category, and whether there's some sort of generational factor leading young people to hedge their statements more, and to err on the side of caution. It certainly fits my experiences that older generations exhibit much more certainty in their opinions and views, even sometimes when they logically shouldn't.
And I also wonder about who The Economist is polling, and how representative their numbers actually are. They themselves state the polls were conducted over three days, so presumably they have a relatively small pool of respondents, which is something that can easily exaggerate statistical deviances. If you flip a coin ten thousand times, you're unlikely to get results that stray very far from a 50 / 50 ratio, but if you only flip a coin 10 times you can easily arrive at a very misleading 30/70 ratio just through the oddities of chance.
Also, are they able to correct for selection bias? Compared to 65+ retirees with little to do all day, how many people aged 18-29 are going to answer the phone and or open an email and agree to take an opinion poll? And is there some personality or political affiliation factor that is common to such people which would then influenced their responses?
All of this is to say I'd like to see more and more comprehensive data on this.
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