What's the worst case scenario?
That we are stuck in endless cycles of lockdown and release while we wait for a vaccine or effective antiviral drug.
And the best?
Within the coming weeks it would be that we have a rapid diagnostic procedure in place. That way, we can rapidly test individuals, trace their contacts and only isolate carriers of the virus, as opposed to locking down all of society. After that, it's the creation of an effective antiviral drug, which doesn't exist at the moment and, ultimately, a vaccine.
Sunday, April 12, 2020
From an interview with Devi Shridhar, a professor of public health in the UK: