Tuesday, March 26, 2013

Obama on Immigration

The President at a White House ceremony for new citizens yesterday:
Unless you are one of the first Americans, unless you are a Native American, you came from someplace else. That’s why we’ve always defined ourselves as a nation of immigrants. And we’ve always been better off for it. The promise we see in those who come from all over the world is one of our greatest strengths. It’s kept our workforce young. It keeps our businesses on the cutting edge. It’s helped to build the greatest economic engine that the world has ever known. And you think about the drive and the determination that it took for each of these 28 men and women to reach this moment. Imagine how far they’ll go from here, the kind of difference that they’ll be making on behalf of this country.

Immigration makes us a stronger. It keeps us vibrant. It keeps us hungry. It keeps us prosperous. It is part of what makes this such a dynamic country. And if we want to keep attracting the best and the brightest that the world has to offer, then we need to do a better job of welcoming them. We’ve known for years that our immigration system is broken, that we’re not doing enough to harness the talent and ingenuity of all those who want to work hard and find a place here in America. And after avoiding the problem for years, the time has come to fix it once and for all. The time has come for a comprehensive, sensible immigration reform.
I'm all for immigration reform myself, but whether you think immigration makes us better off depends on what you want. It certainly makes our economy more vibrant; it makes our culture more interesting; it makes our food better; it improves our future fiscal picture. But economic dynamism always has losers as well as winners, and some of the losers in an immigrant-friendly economy will be native born poor people. More to the point, if you want things to stay the way they are, you should oppose immigration, because it leads to change. It makes our population grow, which means more farms built over with suburbs, more traffic, more highways, more everything. I don't hang around with conservative nativists, but I do know anti-immigrant fanatics -- they are environmentalists in Save the Bay and similar groups.

If your idea of a nation, or a community, is one in which everyone has a lot in common, you should oppose immigration. The rapid movement of millions of people around the world is one of the main solvents that is dissolving traditional communities everywhere. Communities in which people grow up as their forefathers and foremothers did, thinking as they thought, believing as they believed, living as they lived, are disappearing under the onslaught of modernity. In the modern world we have to craft our own identities, choose our own beliefs and values, find our own friends and mates; we are swept by the winds of fashion, fad, and fraud, as susceptible to crazy political ideas as to crazy shoe styles. The old way is going, and it had much to recommend it. After all, it is how we survived for a million years, and the history of the world in the 250 years or so since we began casting it aside ought to warn us of the dangers.

I think at base I support immigration because I believe in freedom and hate xenophobia. Although I understand the attraction of life in a homogenous community, steeped in tradition, I could not stand the restrictions myself. I hate to be told what to do, and will not abide being told what to think. I also recoil at any suggestion that one group of people is inherently better than another -- not because I am a relativist, but because the things I believe in are abstractions that no group practices perfectly, and on which nobody has any claim of ownership. No culture is the best at everything.

Since preserving some traditional culture seems a fanciful notion in America, and the world's growing population has to live somewhere, I say, let freedom ring.

Monday, March 25, 2013

Today's Article Title

The Internet Finally Reaches its Apex as Man Marrying My Little Pony Character Writes Angry Email to Erotic Pony Artist

A story that, yes, brings together two things you probably never thought could exist: erotic art based on My Little Pony and a man who says he is engaged to Twilight Sparkle. I can't decide if this is the craziest story I have ever read or the most sublimely ironic.


Talking is the Most Human Thing

A while ago I was looking at this photo of Kyrgyz herders in northern Afghanistan all playing with their mobile phones, and it struck me that instant communication is one part of modern technology that nobody had to be talked into. Offered the chance to speak at any time with friends or associates anywhere, people in every culture have leaped at it. This is one thing we all understand, no matter what our cultural background. FaceBook and similar posting services have also spread into every corner of the world, as ways to keep track of our friends. Which is why I don't find this surprising at all:
Surprisingly, the UN reports there are now more people with mobile phones (six billion for world population of seven billion) on earth than there are with access to clean toilets (4.5 billion).

That's a Lot of Lava

One of the biggest mass extinctions took place 200 million years ago, at the end of the Triassic period. At least half of all species on land and in the sea went extinct, opening the way for the dinosaurs and giant reptiles of the Jurassic and Cretaceous. This event is related, we think, to the break-up of the supercontinent Pangaea. But how did that event cause extinctions?

One of the theories has long been that enormous volcanic eruptions were the killers. A team of geologists published new data supporting the volcanic hypothesis:
In a new study published today in the journal Science, researchers say they have confirmed that eruptions large enough to bury the U.S. under 100 meters of lava occurred at the same time that vast numbers of plant and animal species disappeared from the fossil record. About 201 million years ago, tectonic forces started ripping the supercontinent known as Pangaea apart, said Terrence Blackburn, a geologist at the Carnegie Institution for Science in Washington, D.C., and lead author of the study. The underlying mantle rock melted, generating these large eruptions, he added. The rift, which eventually created the Atlantic Ocean basin, happened between sections of Pangaea that would go on to become North America and Africa. These huge eruptions, or flood basalt events, occurred during four periods over 600,000 years, but it’s the first bout of volcanism that contributed to the death of so many organisms, said Blackburn.
The eruptions began in what is now Morocco, and within 12,000 years they had spread all along the opening rift, leaving basalt deposits covering much of northeastern North America. Eruptions on such a scale -- we're talking 1 million cubic kilometers of magma -- would poison the atmosphere and extinguish most animal life. The picture shows a flood basalt deposit along the Columbia River.

This brings home to me how lucky we are to be here. An event like this would be far beyond our adaptive capabilities, even now; had one taken place within the last 20 million years, our ancestors would have been wiped out.

Spring Snow

To start Easter Week, a barrage of wet snow, burying the early flowers and coating the trees. At my house it was a perfect fairyland, all the trees coated in white. But it was dark as I left the house, and by the time the lights came I was in Washington, where there was much less magic. Still, there were nice things to look at.



Since I had a camera along, I tried once again to get a picture of the great blue heron rookery on the Anacostia, with the sad result below. But at least you can see there are big nests in those trees.


Sunday, March 24, 2013

An Elf Song

Sing all ye joyful, now sing all together!
The wind's in the treetops, the wind's in the heather;
The stars are in blossom, the moon is in flower,
And bright are the windows of Night in her tower.

Dance all yet joyful, now dance all together!
Soft is the grass, and let foot be like feather!
The river is silver, the shadows are fleeting;
Merry is May-time, and merry our meeting.

J.R.R. Tolkien

I just finished reading The Hobbit to my youngest son. This is the second time I have read it aloud, and I loved sharing it with Ben. But now I feel rather wistful and wish I were in the starlit woods of Rivendell, hearing the elves sing.

Another Step Away from Madness about Crime

One of the most pernicious actions we took during the Great Crime Wave was the introduction of "mandatory minimum" sentences for many crimes. This grew out of a sense that criminals weren't spending nearly enough time in prison; an elderly volunteer on one of my archaeological sites in the late 80s said to me, "I never saw a criminal I thought got a long enough sentence." So the sentences were made more draconian, and to make sure they stuck, the same laws took away the discretion of judges to reduce them. This has often meant that criminals who might have gotten a break from a concerned judge -- say, a man who committed an assault because he felt his family had been threatened, or who stole to pay his medical bills -- couldn't get one. I remember one case that made the news because a grandmother was sent to prison for five years because her grandson was dealing drugs from her apartment.

As part of the turn against such draconian policies, mandatory minimums have recently been repealed in several states. Now libertarian-leaning Republican Rand Paul and liberal Democrat Patrick Leahy have come together to do this at the federal level:
Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) and Sen. Patrick Leahy (D-Vt.) last week introduced a bill that would give judges greater flexibility by allowing them to work around mandatory minimum sentences for drug crimes, which civil rights groups say often don’t fit the crime.
On Fox News, Paul especially stressed the folly of giving long sentences to drug offenders:
I don’t want to encourage people to do (drugs). I think even marijuana’s a bad thing to do. I think it takes away your incentive to work and show up and do the things that you should be doing. But I also don’t want to put people in jail who make a mistake. There are a lot of young people who do this and then later on in their twenties they grow up and get married, they quit doing things like this.” Paul noted that recent presidents have admitted to drug use in their past, and that strict drug laws could have put them behind bars and zapped their potential. . . .
Look, the last two presidents could conceivably have been put in jail for their drug use. Look what would have happened. It would have ruined their lives. They got lucky, but a lot of poor kids, particularly in the inner city, don’t get lucky. They don’t have good attorneys. They go to jail for these things, and I think it’s a big mistake.
About time.

Ancient America at the LACMA

The Los Angeles County Museum of Art has starting putting high quality images of their enormous collection online. Their holdings in Ancient American art are especially famous, so I am celebrating their online project with some pictures. Above, a human-headed turtle figurine from Colima, Mexico, dating to between 200 BCE and 500 CE.

Many of their objects were purchased by California collectors in the early 20th century, after having been excavated or looted from archaeological sites. So for many there is very little provenience information, and they can only be dated by style. For some objects this is fairly precise, but for others they can do no better than a very broad guess. The mask above is dated "500 BC to AD 1000," and the provenience is "Mexico." The LACMA has dozens of these simple figurines and masks, maybe hundreds.



Figures from the Nayarit Culture of western Mexico, 200 BCE to 500 CE. A married couple with many nose rings, a pole ceremony, and a two-headed dog.

A Mixtec idol depicting the rain god Tlaloc, 1200 to 1400 CE.

A Maya censer jar of the Classic Period, 600 to 900 CE.

And a vessel from Panama depicting a sea serpent, dated 500 to 700 CE.

Gold pendant, probably Mixtec. 1100 to 1520 CE.

Toltec petroglyph depicting a Jaguar, 800 to 1000 CE.

The Chinese Generation Gap

British journalist James Palmer has written an interesting article about the generation gap in China, where the extraordinary social and economic changes of the past 30 years have intensified the usual grumbling between young and old:
In 2004, fresh off the plane in Beijing, I was asked to judge an English competition for high-school seniors. My two co-judges were pleasantly cynical middle-aged sociologists, both professors at Tsinghua University. After listening to the umpteenth speech about how China used to be poor, but was now rich and powerful, I remarked to one of them that the students seemed a little sheltered.

‘They don’t know anything!’ she spat. ‘They don’t have any idea about how people live. None of this generation do. They’re all so spoilt.’

It’s a view I’ve heard time and again over the past eight years, and one of which the Chinese media never tire. The young get it from left and right. This January alone, the jingoistic Major General and media commentator Luo Yuan condemned the young for being physically and mentally unfit, ranting: ‘Femininity is on the rise, and masculinity is on the decline. With such a lack of character and determination and such physical weakness, how can they shoulder the heavy responsibility?’ Meanwhile the writer and social critic Murong Xuecun blasted them in the US magazine Foreign Policy because ‘fattened to the point of obesity with Coca-Cola and hamburgers [ ...] the young generation only believes official pronouncements; some even think contradicting the official line is heretical. They do not bother to check the details’.
I once worked with a Chinese man born around 1955 who sprinkled his conversation with sentences like, "I don't mind waiting, I learned patience in the labor camp." I think you can see right away why the difference between an experience like his, and that of a young person growing up in the years of economic boom, would lead to friction. The old have always complained about the young, but in China the old really did have to suffer and struggle in a way the young have not, and the young really do have to navigate a completely different world with rules and opportunities their parents barely understand:
Zhang Jun, a 26-year-old PhD student, described the situation: ‘It’s not just a generation gap. It’s a values gap, a wealth gap, an education gap, a relationships gap, an information gap.’ Lin Meilian, 30, and a journalist, bluntly stated: ‘I have nothing in common with my mother. We can’t talk about anything. She doesn’t understand how I choose to live my life.’
Even when it is mainly positive, as that in China surely has been, rapid social change is disorienting and destructive of some things we value highly, especially family life.

Saturday, March 23, 2013

Sword

Given by Henry IV of France to Jean d'Harambure; the sword was known as the Blind.

Today's Cathedral: Reims

The Cathedral of Our Lady at Reims is one of the great masterpieces of the high Gothic.

The first cathedral here was built in the 5th century, and it was in that building that Clovis was baptized in 496. Reims thereafter became the place where the kings of France were crowned, giving it an illustrious history. That church was rebuilt in the ninth century.

The Carolingian church was badly damaged by fire in 1210. Since the mania for building Gothic cathedrals was then at its height in France, it was decided to tear down what was left and build anew. The cathedral celebrated its 800th birthday in 2011. But of course construction only began in 1211, and the nave was not roofed until 1299. One reason for the delay was a violent conflict between the cathedral chapter and the townsfolk that broke out in 1233, completely halting work for three years. The upper parts of the west facade were completed in the 14th century, but they seem to have followed 13th-century plans, giving the cathedral an unusual unity of design.

One of the striking things about the design is the use of additional windows above the doors on the west front, rather than sculpted tympanums.


The church still has many original 13th-century windows.


The sculptures in the west front are also very famous.

I don't know how old this chandelier is, but it does look nice.


Friday, March 22, 2013

Brian Forbes Powell in the Galapagos

Brian Forbes Powell won National Geographic's latest photography contest, and the prize was a photo safari to the Galapagos. His pictures are now up, and some are pretty good. Above, plants colonizing a recent lava flow on Fernandina Island. Below, a brown noddy foraging.


Pictures of People with Fibromyalgia

I have always found a perverse sort of amusement in the pictures drug companies, hospitals, and so on use to portray people suffering from depression or chronic pain. "No," I imagine the photographer saying, "look more miserable! Think of the worst thing you can imagine! Suffer, suffer, suffer!"

These are from a feature on a medical web site about fibromyalgia.

Feel the misery.

Obama Goes to Israel, Gives a Speech

And nothing changes, and nothing will change, and there is nothing anyone in America can do about it. The latest polling from the region:
The ugly truth is that the Palestinians and Israelis are arguably further apart on peace now than they have been at any point in the past 20 years. Both sides want a settlement, but they can’t see how to achieve it and they don’t trust each other. The only aspect they really agree upon at all is that President Obama will not be helpful in establishing peace.

Thursday, March 21, 2013

Grant in Command

To me, U.S. Grant is a fascinating study in the psychology of military command. His mental strengths and weaknesses combined to make him the right man for a certain military job: hounding the weaker Confederate armies back into the hills. For most of the Civil War he fought predictably and with little imagination, achieving success by simple determination. On two occasions, though, he rose far above himself and carried out complex operations in a masterful way, leading to great victories. Had he been a Confederate commander, he might have been a complete failure, since he was so bad at guessing the intentions of his enemies and responding to them. But as the commander of a superior force, leading them toward a difficult objective, he was outstanding.

The most remarkable thing about Grant as a commander was his indifference to what his enemies were doing. Sometimes this obsessive focus on his own plans and actions was a great advantage; other times it proved a terrible weakness. It was his friend Sherman who first singled out this oddity of Grant’s character as the key to his excellence:
I am a damned sight smarter man than Grant. I know more about military history, strategy, and grand tactics than he does. I know more about supply, administration, and everything else than he does. I'll tell you where he beats me though and where he beats the world. He doesn't give a damn about what the enemy does out of his sight, but it scares me like hell.
This was Grant’s way. If his enemies got in his way, he would attack them; if they went somewhere else, he would ignore them. As he wrote in 1863,
The art of war is simple enough. Find out where your enemy is. Get at him as soon as you can. Strike him as hard as you can, and keep moving on.
At times, Grant’s single-mindedness led him to near disaster. He was completely surprised at Shiloh, the first of the war’s great, bloody battles. He was so focused on his own preparations for attack that it never even occurred to him that he might be attacked himself, so his forces were utterly unprepared when that attack came. As a result, thousands died.

But it was that same indifference that enabled Grant to chase Robert E. Lee so quickly back across Virginia and besiege him in Richmond, after half a dozen other generals had failed. The other Union commanders had driven themselves crazy worrying about what the Confederates (and Lee in particular) were up to, but Grant didn’t care. He had a plan and stuck to it. Grant has been criticized ever since for his unimaginative, bloody campaign against Lee – in fact he was much criticized at the time. But what else was he going to do? He was certainly not going to surprise Lee with some brilliant maneuver, not on ground where Lee and his officers knew every road and farm, and where their intelligence network gave them exact knowledge of all Union movements. Grant himself was in an uncomfortable position, summoned from the west and placed in command of an eastern army that had been fighting in its own way for nearly three years. He knew little of his subordinates or his men, little of the terrain where they would fight, little of the troops facing him, and nothing of the staff officers he relied on to keep him informed and convey his orders. His first battle in the east, The Wilderness, was a near catastrophe, partly because Grant was waiting for Meade and his corps commanders to get on with the fighting, and they were waiting for orders from him. Yet in the end it didn’t matter. Grant had no way of fooling Lee, who understood perfectly well what Grant was up to, so he didn’t try. But, as Shelby Foote memorably put it, if Grant couldn't trick or outmaneuver Lee he “knew how to whip him and did.”

Grant simply refused to be stopped. Lee excelled at getting into the heads of his opponents, but in that sense Grant didn’t have a head that anyone could get into. He could not be frightened. It may be that the mental trait most important to Grant's success was the way he combined high intelligence with an extraordinary lack of imagination. If it wasn't there, he didn't see it. Not even an illusionist as skilled as Lee could fool him for a moment, and no temporary setback could shake his conviction that in the end his superior army was bound to win.

One moment that showed Grant’s calm indifference to the possibility of defeat came near the end of the dragging siege of Petersburg. In March, 1865, Confederate General John Gordon planned a daring, highly innovative attack on the Union siege lines, using small groups of men to infiltrate the trenches and seize Union forts, turning their own guns against other Union positions. At first they were very successful, and worried staff officers woke Grant before dawn to warn him that he might have to flee from his headquarters. Grant sat calmly while his head cleared from sleep, and then responded that though the Confederates might have overrun the first line, they would never break the second, so his headquarters were safe. After thinking for a while longer he observed that in order to launch this attack, Lee must have weakened his own line somewhere else. Completely ignoring the threat presented by Gordon, Grant wrote out an order for an immediate Union assault all along the Petersburg line. In most places this attack was quickly repulsed, but at the southern end of the lines the Union men overran two miles of Confederate trenches. It was from this position that they launched their own successful assault a week later, sending the Confederates fleeing toward the mountains.

That was Grant, most of the time, more famous for his "4 AM courage" than his cleverness. As I said, though, there were times when he was something much more. The first was during the Vicksburg campaign of 1863, when Grant abandoned his own supply lines and led his three separate corps on a 100-mile march through enemy territory, fighting and winning five battles against forces that were, collectively, a match for his own, until he had pinned down what was left of the Confederate forces within Vicksburg’s defenses.


Grant’s other masterpiece is much less well known, because it took place when the war was all but won. But when Lee pulled his army out of Petersburg and Richmond on April 2, 1865, he did not think he was beaten. He had every intention of reaching the mountains and continuing the fight. In this circumstance Grant’s great weight of numbers might have been a disadvantage, enabling a lighter foe to dance away. But with Phil Sheridan’s help Grant drove his army onward in fury, trapping and destroying one piece of Lee’s force after another. Lee found that wherever he wanted to go, Grant’s men were there first, hounding him, harassing him, and running him to the ground at Appomattox Court House just a week later. All through the war Lee had been able to anticipate his enemies' moves, but now it was Grant who anticipated Lee's.

The biggest battle was at Sayler’s Creek on April 6. Here, Sheridan’s cavalry, Custer’s division in the lead, held up the Confederate corps of Ewell and Anderson long enough for Wright’s VI Corps to catch up and launch a powerful assault. Anderson’s men broke and fled, but Ewell’s had nowhere to go and surrendered by brigades. That day the Union took only about a thousand casualties while killing or capturing nearly 8,000 Confederates, one of the war’s most decisive outcomes. Grant’s last campaign was extremely well led, and it did the nation the service of providing a decisive end to a war that might yet have dragged on for months or even years.

I must admit, though, that the real reason I admire Grant so much as a commander is his ambivalence toward war. He hated the Mexican War, which most of his army colleagues regarded as a grand adventure. He called it, “one of the most unjust wars ever waged by a stronger against a weaker nation.” Another time he wrote,
The Southern rebellion was largely the outgrowth of the Mexican war. Nations, like individuals, are punished for their transgressions. We got our punishment in the most sanguinary and expensive war of modern times.
He thought that the Civil War, by contrast, was eminently just, but he still refused to revel in his victories. As he lacked fear, he also lacked the bloodsport enthusiasm that overtakes so many soldiers, even reluctant ones, in the heat of battle. War allowed him to exercise his powers to their fullest, but it did no really excite him.  Touring Europe after the war, he said
Although a soldier by profession, I have never felt any sort of fondness for war, and I have never advocated it, except as a means of peace.
Although such comments are commonplace among generals, it seems that Grant, more than others, really meant them. So I take the time today to honor him for the part he played in holding the Union together and crushing the cause of slavery, for his determination, and for the way he rose above himself when the stakes were highest, shortening our national tragedy with decisive daring.

Eurozone on the Path to Nowhere

Banker and AEI Fellow Desmond Lachman explains the economic mess in Europe:
My view is that things are getting worse. If you just want one metric just look at unemployment. Overall euro-zone unemployment now keeps grinding up, it’s at 9 or 10 percent now. Youth unemployment is in the 20s. Or look at Spain. Spain isn’t a Mickey Mouse economy. They’re at 26 percent unemployment and youth unemployment is 60 percent. This is a social explosion waiting to happen. And what is the policy recommendation? They need to do more austerity. They need to stay the course. Greece has been in recession for five years, and they still need to tighten their budget. . . .

Italy has been in recession for seven or eight quarters. In Spain, unemployment is around 26 percent. This has messed up public finances, but it also causes a political reaction. So look at Italy, which is much bigger than Cyprus, over the last month. They had an election in which they basically have a political stalemate. Sixty percent of the electorate said they don’t want this austerity anymore. So why does it keep happening? Because they’re constrained, they’re forced into a policy path leading you nowhere.
I think the Europeans need to accept that the Euro was a disaster they should move on from. If they don't, some country will soon elect a Fascist or Anarchist government, and things will get ugly fast.

The basic plan behind the Euro was use the common currency to force Europe to become a sort of United States. But European voters, it turns out, don't want to give up their national sovereignty. This creates the absolutely unworkable situation of independent countries trying to share a single currency. If greater political unity cannot be created now, the currency has to go.

Why is Gandalf a Compelling Character?

Jason MacDonald's answer to this question:
Certainly, part of what makes Gandalf compelling is the idea that "still waters run deep" with him. Outwardly, he doesn't appear that wise or powerful ... just a guy who likes hanging out with hobbits more than he should and smoking his pipe. A lot of his more interesting adventures happen outside the main narrative, so we know he's a badass, but have to wonder at the specifics a lot of the time. But at the same time, Tolkien gives us flashes of his power—both in terms of his actions (summoning eagles, fighting Balrogs), and in the way some of the seemingly important characters in the story defer to him. Elrond and Aragorn are kings, and yet they both seem willing to put their trust in the seemingly humble wizard. It draws you in—who is this guy, and why is he the one everyone turns to?

But I think there's a more personal connection which might be the more powerful one if you're inclined to feel it. Although Middle Earth has a race of men, the hobbits are in some ways closest to us as readers. "Men" in the Tolkien world are mostly armies moving around battlefields, though there's a few such as Aragorn who rise to be more than that. Hobbits are the simple people who live their lives and try to be happy and do what good they can. They're meant to be us.

And this is what makes it personal: Gandalf's faith in the goodness and competence and hidden abilities of the hobbits—even when the powerful and mighty like Saruman and Thorin Oakenshield doubt their worth—is Tolkien's faith in the goodness and competence of normal people, of you the reader. Through Gandalf, Tolkien is saying he trusts you and I to do good, to live our lives well, to put happiness and friendship above material gain, and to fight evil as best we can, even if we don't think we have the tools at our disposal. . . . His faith in the hobbits is his faith in us.
I would put this somewhat differently. It is through Gandalf that hobbits, i.e., ordinary Englishmen, enter into epic magical stories. Gandalf travels out from the Shire and does amazing things somewhere, then comes back, again and again. Those of little depth or curiosity know him for his spectacular fireworks shows. But for those who understand, his friendship is a gateway to that vast plain where good and evil battle for the universe, magic is real, and heroes overcome.

I would also say that while Gandalf several times says things that praise all hobbits, and he seems to like them, he is rather particular in which ones he invites to go along on his adventures. He is the means by which Tolkien's universe recognizes which apparently ordinary folk are capable of great deeds and calls them to their destinies. So when he, to use Macdonald's terms, shows faith in us the reader, it is not just a generalized confidence in ordinary people, it allows us to fantasize that we might be the ones called to greatness.

Another facet of Gandalf's power, to which MacDonald alludes, is that Gandalf's most important magic is not in doing things but in knowing and understanding things. His most important contribution is to understand the global forces behind what seem like disconnected events to others, and to see through the lies of the enemy. He knows what needs to be done. In a crisis situation, that can be the most compelling magic.

Never Trust these People

Dave Weigel was a 21-year-old college student when he fell for Bush's arguments and supported his invasion of Iraq.  His anniversary take-away:
Never trust these people. Never trust official estimates. Always question the agenda behind any government campaign.

Cat People and Bird People at War

Great blow up in the cat people vs. bird people wars this week. It started when the then editor-at-large of Audubon Magazine, Ted Williams, wrote an Op-Ed for the Orlando Sentinel arguing for the trapping and euthanizing of feral cats. The cat-people approved method for dealing with feral cats is to catch them, neuter them, and return them to the wild, on the theory that their numbers will then gradually decline. Feral cat lovers also often feed the cats, on the theory that this will reduce their hunting. Williams called this practice "dangerous, cruel, and illegal."
After these unfortunate animals are re-abandoned, they are regularly fed, which draws more feral cats and encourages more re-abandonment.

One intact male can impregnate dozens of females, so trying to reduce cat populations by TNR is like, well, herding cats.

It's dangerous — because feral cats are reservoirs for disease. Three studies reveal that 62 percent to 80 percent carry toxoplasmosis. Feral cats are now the most common domestic rabies vector. In Florida, where rabid cats attack people, the state Department of Health warns that TNR "is not tenable on public health grounds because of the persistent threat posed to communities from injury and disease." A TNR colony at Point Pleasant Beach, N.J., was removed because rabid cats were biting children.

It's cruel — because feral cats lack vet care and suffer from injuries and the same diseases they spread. They infect lynx, bobcats and endangered Florida panthers with feline leukemia, distemper and an AIDS-like immune-deficiency disease.
This, of course, led to angry responses from cat lovers. Audubon, which has tried to walk a careful line through the middle of this war, suspended Williams and removed him name from their masthead. Their spokesman told National Geographic,
We all need to work together on effective strategies that will address the very serious harm cats inflict on birds and other wildlife and that are also truly humane toward cats.
But of course Williams was only saying in public what most of Audubon's readers and writers all believe, so he will no doubt find some other beat.

If you have any real experience with feral cat colonies, you will recognize some of what Williams says. Around here feeding stations for feral cats are often visited by raccoons, who get so fat off cat food that they waddle to and from the bowls, and probably other wild animals, which leads to the spreading of diseases and other problems. Many feral cats are pretty disreputable looking, with missing, eyes, ears, and so on. But the tone of Williams' piece is nonetheless very strange, since he mainly dwells on the suffering of feral cats denied veterinary care and the like. Of course wild animals are also denied veterinary care, and wild deer, raccoons, etc. are often a scroungy lot just as feral cats are; does Williams think we should euthanize them to spare their suffering?

I venture one prediction: it will be a long time, if ever, before cat people and bird people "work together" to solve a problem that cat people deny even exists.

More on this ongoing and ever fascinating conflict here.

Eating Plants in the Chinese Paleolithic

Around the world, evidence for the processing of plant food in the Paleolithic, especially the grinding of seeds, continues to mount:
Li Liu of Stanford University and colleagues studied three grinding stones from China's Yellow River region. They bear residues showing that they were used to process millet and other grains, as well as yams, beans and roots. The stones date from 23,000 to 19,500 years ago, late in the last ice age. But the earliest archaeological evidence for crop cultivation in China is 11,000 years old, suggesting that farming was slow to emerge from ancient traditions of plant use.
So much for the grain-free "paleo diet." The techniques being used to identify plant residues are new and experimental, but in a way the grinding stones speak for themselves. The facts of our own physiology -- whatever the "best" diet turns out to be, we can certainly be very healthy eating a grain-rich Mediterranean or Japanese diet -- also argue that we have been eating grains and beans for a long time.

Don't Roll the Dice

Today David Ignatius, once a big supporter of Bush's invasion of Iraq, offers his readers half an apology for backing the invasion he now sees as disastrous:
Invading Iraq to topple Saddam Hussein a decade ago was one of the biggest strategic errors in modern American history. We’ll never know whether the story might have been different if better planning had been done for “the day after,” or the Iraqi army hadn’t been disbanded, or several other “ifs.” But the abiding truth is that America shouldn’t have rolled the dice this way on a war of choice.
This is a good answer for all of the people who still think, as Ignatius hints that he does, that the war might have turned out differently if Bush, Cheney, and Rumsfeld had handled it better. Wars are rarely handled perfectly, and they are always gigantic risks. Better not to roll the dice of war.

UPDATE: Matt Yglesias' Iraq War anniversary thought:
Here's my lessons learned from the U.S. invasion of Iraq: Starting wars is a bad idea.

Wednesday, March 20, 2013

One More Reprieve for the Drumclay Crannog

The Drumclay Crannog archaeological site in County Fermanagh, Northern Ireland, which I wrote about here, was scheduled to be demolished for road building on April 1. But thanks to a reprieve from Roads Minister Danny Kennedy, the archaeological work has been extended until April 15. Amazing finds continue to come out of the bog, like the cross-marked wooden bowl below.


Saturn V Engines Recovered from the Sea

An expedition funded by Amazon.com founder Jeff Bezos has located what they say are the engines from the Saturn V that launched Apollo 11 toward the Moon. The first stage of the Saturn V rocket dropped into the sea once its fuel was exhausted, so all of those mighty engines ares somewhere on the floor of the Atlantic Ocean.

My Galley Charged with Forgetfulness

My galley chargèd with forgetfulness
Through sharp seas in winter nights doth pass
'Twene rock and rock; and eke mine enemy, alas,
That is my lord, steereth with cruelness.
And every oar a thought in readiness
As though that death were light in such a case;
An endless wind doth tear the sail apace
Of forcèd sighs and trusty fearfulness.
A rain of tears, a cloud of dark disdain
Hath done the wearied cords great hindrance,
Wreathèd with error and eke with ignorance.
The stars be hid that led me to this pain,
Drownèd is reason that should me comfort,
And I remain despairing of the port.

--Thomas Wyatt (1503-1542)

Wyatt was in the thick of all the intrigues surrounding Henry VIII. It was while serving as Henry's ambassador to various European courts that he developed an interest in French and Italian poetry; the above is actually a loose translation of a sonnet by Petrarch. Wyatt was a confidante of Thomas Cromwell and may have been Anne Boleyn's lover before she married Henry VIII. He survived Boleyn's fall by testifying against her. But when his protector Cromwell fell, he was exposed, and he was soon locked in the Tower for treason. He was released, but, as they say, his health was ruined, and he died not long afterward. He kept his verse secret while he lived -- unless he shared it with his lovers -- and it was first published fifteen years after he died.

Tuesday, March 19, 2013

Gate to the Underworld?

Headline:

GATE TO THE UNDERWORLD FOUND IN ANCIENT HIEROPOLIS

I say there has to be a catch.

Today in Budget Fantasy

It's old news that Americans like to think of themselves as conservatives who oppose "government spending" but actually support almost all of the spending the government in fact does. A recent poll asked us if we prefer a budget “with $1 trillion in tax hikes and $100 billion in cuts that does not balance the budget” or one “that does not raise taxes, cuts $5 trillion and balances budget”. And, no surprise, 55 percent favored the budget that cuts spending and balances the budget. But against that is the reality shown in the Pew Poll reported above, that there is not a majority for cutting ANY particular category of government spending.

The best news in that Pew Poll, if you ask me, is that the number favoring defense cuts has gone up to 32 percent, which is nowhere near a majority but is the highest such figure since 9-11. I wonder why unemployment aid fared poorly; perhaps there is fatigue setting in after five years of extensions, and people are starting to think that some of the long-term unemployed are just slackers.

Jesus as a Shape-Shifter

A new translation has come out of a 9th-century Coptic manuscript known as Pseudo-Cyril of Jerusalem, which describes the life and the passion of Christ. As to why Judas had to betray Jesus with a kiss, the text says,
Then the Jews said to Judas: How shall we arrest him [Jesus], for he does not have a single shape but his appearance changes. Sometimes he is ruddy, sometimes he is white, sometimes he is red, sometimes he is wheat coloured, sometimes he is pallid like ascetics, sometimes he is a youth, sometimes an old man. . . .
But this, it turns out, is an idea with an old pedigree. Origen (185-254), the early theologian who is one of our best sources on the thinking of early Christians in Alexandria, wrote something very similar (Contra Celsus II:64):
to those who saw him [Jesus] he did not appear alike to all
Fascinating. Early Christians obviously spent a lot of time wondering what Jesus was like, and pondering the question of what it means to be both divine and human. As god, Christ presumably had the ability to appear however he wished, but did he renounce this power when he assumed a single human form? Let the Christological debates begin!

Sociology, Numbers, and Dismissing the Minority

About 350 years ago, western intellectuals began acquiring the habit of thinking numerically about society. In some ways this has been good, and any statement like "most sensible people believe X" will now be met with a barrage of statistical queries and objections: what do you mean by "most"? How did you poll them? Who defines "sensible," and how do you measure it?

But statistical thinking also leads to bad intellectual habits. One is what I call "dismissing the minority." Consider the uproar spawned among chattering feminists over Sheryl Sandberg’s Lean In, another manifesto urging women to climb the corporate ladder. Statistical duels have broken out all over about how many women are housewives or full-time mothers, how many are working full time and so on. Jessica Grose at Slate is annoyed by a New York Magazine story on highly educated women who have chosen to be stay-at-home moms, and she writes,
Women like Kelly Makino—the social worker featured most heavily in the piece—are still pretty rare. Of women with graduate or professional degrees, 75 percent of them who had a child in the past year work, and 60 percent of those women work full time. When you look at highly educated women who have older children, about 86 percent of them are in the work force. So we’re not talking about hordes of women who are “too busy mining their grandmothers’ old-fashioned lives for values they can appropriate like heirlooms, then wear proudly as their own,” as New York claims. Such women, if they exist, are a minuscule sliver of the whole pie.
But is 14 percent a "miniscule sliver"? We're talking about tens of thousands of women. About 14 percent of Americans are black, but nobody thinks it's odd for the media to cover black people. Yes, it can be annoying when lazy reporters invent trends based on what two of their old college friends are doing. But the fact is that American mothers are, when it comes to paid employment, highly diverse: some are corporate climbers like Sheryl Sandberg, some work full time but consider motherhood at least as important, some work part time, some stay home. Follow them over the course of their lives and you see all sorts of different strategies, moving in and out of the work force and making different kinds of compromises of time and money and child care. There is no single, dominant narrative, other than the need to make choices.

I most often object to arguments that dismiss the minority when it comes to human evolution. I regularly encounter arguments that go something like, "70 percent of documented hunter-gatherer societies practice X, therefore this is the human evolutionary norm." Garbage. There are very few "norms" across human societies, but there is a vast amount of diversity. If you find that, say, 60 percent of hunter-gatherers revere the spirits of their ancestors, that doesn't make ancestor worship some sort of human norm that can then be used to explain the evolution of religion. What it shows is that some people revere their ancestors and some don't, and your evolutionary model had better be able to account for both.

It is interesting to know what the majority of any sample is, and what it is doing, but it is not the whole story. If your theory can't explain the minority as well, your theory is bunk. And if you want to understand, say, American mothers' relationship to the corporate world, you need to think about all mothers, not just whatever portion of the total is doing what you are.

The Slave Cemetery at the University of Virginia

Working just outside the fence of the cemetery at the University of Virginia, landscapers recently uncovered an unexpected array of 67 graves. They found a clue as to these people might have been in an 1898 Alumni Bulletin, where an old alum remembered "in old times, the University servants were buried on the north side of the cemetery, just outside of the wall." In antebellum Virginia, "servants" meant slaves. So the university had accidentally stumbled upon the burial ground for its own slaves, and those of its professors.

As a public service, let me note that I have personally never found that the wall of an old cemetery marked the actual limit of the burials; there are always some forgotten graves outside. So be careful digging anywhere near an old graveyard.

The article about this discovery in the most recent University of Virginia Magazine has some fascinating information about those slaves, including this account of Sally Cottrell Cole (above):
Sally Cottrell Cole was born enslaved around 1800 and worked at Monticello as a maid to Thomas Jefferson’s granddaughter Ellen Randolph. In 1825, the Jefferson family hired Cottrell out to U.Va.’s first professor of mathematics, an Englishman named Thomas H. Key, whose wife required a nurse and maid. Professor Key abruptly resigned in July 1827 and returned to England. Before leaving, he purchased Cottrell for $400 on the condition that she be immediately freed. Virginia law at the time required freed slaves to leave the state within 12 months. Rather than leave, she worked for U.Va. chemistry professor John P. Emmet, then on her own as a seamstress. Cottrell was baptized at First Baptist Church in 1841 and, five years later, married Reuben Cole, a free black man.

Michael Melford

Extraordinary American photographer, born 1950, who does a lot of work for National Geographic. Many more wonderful images at his web site.

Socotra, Yemen.


He explores a wide range of landscapes -- wild, tame, historical, all masterfully.