Wikipedia now lists the Battle of Kyiv (2022) as a Ukrainian victory.
BBC video shot mostly in Bucha and Hostomel, includes a walk through of the scene of devastation on the Bucha road (above) that inspired my poem, as well as what look like dozens of civilian murder victims.
The scene in liberated Trostyanets.
Military analysts contacted by the Washington Post say that of the 120 battalion tactical groups Russia had at the start of the invasion, at least 20 are too whipped to fight any longer, "a figure likely to be higher since the Ukrainian advances of recent days." The Ukrainian MOD is saying 16 Russian BTGs "destroyed," 34 more badly damaged.
At a courier service in Belarus, a steady stream of Russian soldiers shipping looted goodies home to their families and girlfriends. Also rumors of flea markets set up in Belarusian towns.
Michael Kofman, thread on the state of the war, 2 April 2022.
Discussion of the way the US and Britain have used secret intelligence during the war. As I suspected, US now confirms that they alerted Ukraine to the Russian plan to seize Hostomel airport and fly in reinforcements at the start of the war, helping Ukraine to blunt that attack.
Institute for the Study of War Battle Assessment for 3 April.
Hardly anyone in the west believes that the Russians never intended to take Kyiv, or that their goal all along was to expand the territory they control in the south and east; but, asks Bret Stephens at the NY Times, what if that was true, and what they really want is to seize Ukraine's energy resources, especially natural gas? If so, I would say, then what the west has to do is ban all Russian energy imports. Which we should do anyway.
The Ukrainian-made laser-guided artillery shells they have used to destroy many Russian tanks.
The guys who usually identify destroyed and abandoned weaponry have a go at identifying the washing machines Russian soldiers were trying to steal when their truck was hit. I guess they are worn down by the sheer volume of destruction and need some levity.
Pro-Russia rally in Berlin, just a short video but the western media seems not to be covering this.
Speaking of the guys who count destroyed vehicles, their totals are soaring as they work through images from the Russian retreat. As of right now they show Russian losses as 405 tanks, 763 infantry fighting vehicles, armored personnel carriers, etc., 71 self-propelled artillery, 45 multiple rocket systems, 42 surface-to-air missile systems, 19 jet aircraft, 38 helicopters, and 687 trucks and jeeps, plus sundry others for a total of 2,239 major pieces of equipment, which is about 25 battalion tactical groups worth of gear; the tank total is about 1/3 of what the Russians started with invasion with. If other areas of intense fighting are anything like Bucha, Hostomel and Irpin, the counts of armored vehicles, artillery and trucks are way low, and the total Russian loss is likely over 3,000 systems.