Thursday, January 26, 2012

Dementiaville: Back to the 1950s

From the Independent:
Its detractors may end up dubbing it "Dementiaville", but Switzerland is brushing aside a debate raging among geriatric-care experts with plans to build a mock-1950s village catering exclusively for elderly sufferers of Alzheimer's and other debilitating mental illnesses. The newly approved €20m housing project is to be built next to the Swiss village of Wiedlisbach near Bern and will provide sheltered accommodation and care for 150 elderly dementia patients in 23 purpose-built 1950s-style houses. The homes will be deliberately designed to recreate the atmosphere of times past.

The scheme's promoters said there will be no closed doors and residents will be free to move about. To reinforce an atmosphere of normality, the carers will dress as gardeners, hairdressers and shop assistants. The only catch is that Wiedlisbach's inhabitants will not be allowed to leave the village.

A similar pioneering, yet controversial, approach to geriatric mental care is already under way in Holland, where the Hogewey nursing home for dementia sufferers was set up in an Amsterdam suburb in 2009. Its residents pay €5,000 a month to live in a world of carefully staged illusion. Markus Vögtlin, the Swiss entrepreneur behind the Wiedlisbach scheme, visited Hogewey before launching his own project and is full of enthusiasm for the Dutch approach. "People with dementia are often restless and aggressive, but at Hogewey they were relaxed and content," Mr Vögtlin told Switzerland's Tages-Anzeiger newspaper. He said that his plan to house dementia sufferers in 1950s- style houses with front gardens was designed to increase patients' sense of security. He said they had difficulty remembering what was happening at present but usually had firm memories of the past. 
Now we know what to do with John Boehner and his Republican colleagues when they retire.

Wednesday, January 25, 2012

Habima Fuchs

Out in the World, 2008

Ian Mortimer, The Time Traveler's Guide to Medieval England

Ian Mortimer's The Time Traveler's Guide to Medieval England: A Handbook for Visitors to the Fourteenth Century (2008) is a terrifically fun book. It was a genius idea, to write about medieval social history in the guise of a travel guide for modern visitors, and Mortimer has done a good job with it. Mortimer is a historian with several other books on fourteenth-century England to his credit, including a biography of his own ancestor Roger Mortimer, the rebel against Edward II. He knows a lot about the period and, just as important, he really loves it. Reading some historians I wonder why they study what they do, since they seem to find it so dry, but Mortimer's books ooze with enthusiasm for his subject. He loves the literature, the architecture, the chronicles, the characters, and much more, and he seems to spend as much of his mental time in the fourteenth century as he does in the twenty-first. This makes him just the man to write this handy guide.

Mortimer tells you what you will see as you travel across fourteenth-century England: the fields, the forests, the villages, the towns, the cities, the cathedrals, the castles. He tells you what you are likely to eat and drink, what you should wear to blend in, how you should greet strangers of various sorts, where to shop, and how you should go about haggling over prices. (You will have to haggle.) He describes the several sorts of houses you might stay in. He describes the changes taking place over the course of the century, for example in clothing and housing, so there is no assumption that medieval England was a static world. My favorite part was about accommodations, explaining where you will stay as you travel (much more likely a private home or a monastery than an inn), what the beds will be like, what you might be fed, and what you will pay or should offer as a present to your host.

Mortimer is as accurate as anyone can be, covering so many topics for a popular audience. I disagreed with a few points, but on the whole the quality of the history is very high. I even liked his brief account of policing and justice, which is my academic specialty and which I think most textbooks badly mishandle.

If you ever have occasion to describe a scene from medieval life to anyone -- as a writer, as a teacher, as a raconteur -- you should have a copy of this book.

Tuesday, January 24, 2012

Captain Beechey's Vertebrates

The zoology of Captain Beechey's voyage / compiled from the collections and notes made by Captain Beechey, the officers and naturalist of the expedition, during a voyage to the Pacific and Behring's Straits performed in His Majesty's ship Blossom, under the command of Captain F. W. Beechey ... in the years 1825, 26, 27 and 28, by J. Richardson ...

 From BibliOdyssey.

Newt's French Role Model

Famous photograph of the funeral of French President Francois Mitterrand in 1996. His wife Danielle is in the center in the white scarf, between one of her sons and her two granddaughters. Second from the right is Mitterrand's longtime mistress, Anne Pingeot, and next to her is their illegitimate daughter. On the far right is the other legitimate son.

If Romney's people can't get any traction by calling Gingrich a sleazeball, perhaps they could score points by pointing out that the domestic arrangement he wanted  is quintessentially French.

X Isn't About Y

Robin Hanson:
Food isn’t about Nutrition
Clothes aren’t about Comfort
Bedrooms aren’t about Sleep
Marriage isn’t about Romance
Talk isn’t about Info
Laughter isn’t about Jokes
Charity isn’t about Helping
Church isn’t about God
Art isn’t about Insight
Medicine isn’t about Health
Consulting isn’t about Advice
School isn’t about Learning
Research isn’t about Progress
Politics isn’t about Policy

Retirement is Bad for Your Health

People like to think that if they could retire early and relax, they would live longer. "The stress of my job is killing me," they think. But for most people this is not so. On average, the earlier people retire, the earlier they die. This is partly because sick people tend to retire earlier than healthy people, but studies that have tried to take this effect into account still find that working longer makes you live longer. A study of thousands of Shell Oil Company employees who retired from the company between 1973 and 2003
found that those who retired at 55 died younger, on average, than those who retired at 65. The effect held even for those who retired at 55 but were still alive at 65, making it somewhat less likely that they retired early because of failing health. Likewise, a study of more than 16,000 Greeks published in 2007 found that retirees were 51 percent more likely to die during the follow-up period than employed people of the same age. It excluded those who had been previously diagnosed with serious illnesses.
Of course some people live for a long time while retired, but they are mostly the ones who find something else to do instead of just playing golf and napping.

Monday, January 23, 2012

Ordos Museum by MAD Architects

Now here's a striking building. The Ordos Museum is part of a building boom in this city of 1.5 million in China's Inner Mongolia province. Chinese architects Ma Yansong and Qun Dang, who call themselves MAD, covered the building in polished metal tiles that are intended to resist the region's frequent sandstorms.

Ordos is a political project of the Chinese government, who are offering the mainly non-Chinese inhabitants of Inner Mongolia development and modernization to distract them from any desire for independence.

The museum is supposed to promote Mongol and Uighur culture, but in the pictures I have seen it looks mostly empty. Perhaps the contents will come later, but right now this looks more like an exhibition of modernist originality and technical savvy than a monument to nomadism. Love this entrance.

I don't know anything about these architects, but on the basis of this building I predict big things for them. They have seen the future -- the slick, modernist version, anyway -- and brought back a stunning report.




Worth a Thousand Words

The Weirdly Besieged Attitude of Conservative Americans

The Economist's summary of remarks by one of New Gingrich's warm-up speakers at a South Carolina rally last week:
Mr Gingrich put "the academic left, the elite media and left-wing Democrats" on notice that his campaign was "about the end of their dominance of power" in America.
I ask you, in what universe do the academic left and left-wing Democrats hold a dominance of power? I know a fair number of academic leftists, and they are all in despair over America's future, which they see as dominated by giant corporations and their political pawns, war-mongers, massive violations of civil liberties, and resurgent sexism. And when did they ever dominate power?

It's an insane notion, and yet it is widely shared among conservatives. I can only think that it represents an underlying bewilderment in the face of constant social and economic change: the world refuses to hold still, and that must be somebody's fault. Academic leftists are about as powerful in America as Eskimos, but change is rapid and real, and that just plain scares a lot of people.

A Stylish Habit

Via Andrew Sullivan, this is the habit that Julia Sherman designed for a new order of nuns.

Hereditary Political Tendencies

Retired President Eisenhower on Mitt Romney's father, George Romney, in 1967:
He has been on so many sides of so many questions that one begins to wonder just where he does stand. He sounds like a man in a panic. And a man who panics is not the best candidate for President.

The Helix Nebula

Photographed in infrared light by the European Southern Observatory.

Polling What Matters to Americans

The Post and the Kaiser Family Foundation have been polling Americans about what matters in their lives, and they turned up some interesting numbers. They asked "how important is this to you" about a range of matters, and got these responses:



Very Important
Somewhat Important
Not very Important
Not at all Important
Being successful in a career
54
33
7
5
Having enough free time
57
37
4
2
Being married
51
24
15
10
Living a religious life
52
26
11
10
Having children
65
17
8
8
Being wealthy
12
41
35
11
Being respected by others
67
28
3
2
Being is a good romantic relationship
56
30
8
6
Being close with your family
88
9
1
1
Living a healthy lifestyle
77
22
1
1
Being physically attractive
16
48
26
10

You can see how seriously to take what people say is important to them by looking at that "living a healthy lifestyle" line; 99 percent of Americans say it's important, but how many are doing it?

What stood out for me is that number for "being respected by others," which comes in ahead of career, free time, religion, and marriage. This really is essential to human life, and one of our top goals ought to be to maximize the amount of respect and dignity in our society.

Read farther down into the survey and you find that 24% of white men worry about being discriminated against, which pretty much explains the support for Newt Gingrich's campaign.

Gingrich as an Outsider

According to this morning's Times, the Republican primaries are
shaping up as a proxy battle in the fight between the Republican Party’s establishment wing — in favor of Mr. Romney — and a grass-roots insurgency that, for now at least, seems to be coalescing around Mr. Gingrich as a no-holds-barred opponent to President Obama in the fall. 
The notion of New Gingrich as an outsider is puzzling at first, since he is a former Speaker of the House who used his connections to make a fortune in Washington consulting. And yet in another way it does make sense. Gingrich got started as an angry back-bencher always willing to denounce the Democrats in harsher terms than anyone else, and when the election of Bill Clinton made Republicans really angry, Gingrich was there to lead them to control of the House in 1994. That was his peak moment; once he was in power, his indiscipline and his self-righteous preening made it hard for him to govern. His House colleagues were maddened by his dishonesty and his constant shifts of position, and they eventually fired him. He was by then as hated as any man in Washington.

Republicans are really angry again, so Newt is back, seeking again to lead them. Anger was always his strong suit; what he does best is channel rage into respectable-sounding rhetoric. Being roundly hated in official Washington only adds to his outsider glamor. So Republicans who mainly want a leader who will express how angry they are with Obama, Washington, the economy, and the ongoing weakening of white power are flocking to support him.

The conventional wisdom is that Americans won't support an angry man for President. Deep red Republicans may delight in Gingrich's venom, but pundits say his intemperance will turn off the apathetic middle of the country and hand the Presidency back to the Democrats. I wonder. Certainly there is a lot of anger in America, and I can imagine laid off factory workers in Ohio giving Gingrich more support than Romney. I find the man to be more of a circus freak than a potential leader, but I am not the average American, and I only get one vote. One thing I will say is that Gingrich would need bad news, and plenty of it, to fuel his campaign; if the economy keeps improving and there are not new terrorist attacks or wars, his schtick will be marginalized, and Obama will coast.

Sunday, January 22, 2012

Gothic Mourners in Richmond

For all my Richmond friends and readers, the exhibit I wrote about back in May of sculptures from the tomb of John the Fearless of Burgungy (1371-1419) will be at the Virginia Museum of Fine Arts from January 21 to April 15.

Newt!

Hammered by the Republican establishment after his first surge, and driven back to fourth place in Iowa, Gingrich is back, winning an impressive victory in normally crucial South Carolina. I'm afraid, though, that it can't last. The attack dogs of the Republican machine will turn their teeth on Newt again, and the Congressmen who once worked with him will be back on the airways reminding everyone what a dangerous creep he is, and this will put people off him as it did in Iowa. But at least he has made the nomination fight interesting.

Speaking of establishment criticism of Gingrich, here is a gem from Joe Scarborough:
If New Gingrich is the smartest guy in the room, leave that room.
David Bromwich has a piece in the NY Review about the emptiness of Gingrich's political books, which are full of gems like, "you should only get disability if you really deserve it." Lately his main enemy has been "secular socialism," which he seems to think is 1) Obama's political program, and 2) a major threat to American civilization. The old lefties who run the NY Review must find it strange that while they spend their days mourning that the Democrats no longer support socialism, Republicans constantly attack the Democrats for espousing it. The notion that Obama is a dangerous leftist would be laughable if so many Americans didn't believe it. I wonder if Newt does. Does he think that Obama is a secret socialist who longs in his heart to nationalize the banks and send their executives to Guantanamo? Or that his sort of moderate center-leftism is the leading edge of some dangerous idea?

My money is still on an Obama-Romney election, but I suppose we'll see.

The Boneyard from Space

The "boneyard" at Davis-Monthan Air Force Base in Airzona, seen from space. The boneyard holds more than 4,400 surplus aircraft.

Václav Havel Confronting Death

Toward the end of his memoir of his time as President of Czechoslovakia and the Czech Republic, To the Castle and Back, Václav Havel wrote that we was spending a lot of time straightening his house, and he wondered why he cared:
I have only one explanation: I am constantly preparing for the last judgment, for the highest court from which nothing can be hidden, which will appreciate everything that should be appreciated, and will, of course, notice anything that is not in its place. I'm obviously assuming that the supreme judge is a stickler like me. But why does this final evaluation matter so much to me? After all, at that point, I shouldn't care. But I do care, because I'm convinced that my existence -- like everything that has ever happened -- has ruffled the surface of Being, and that after my  little ripple, however marginal, insignificant and ephemeral it may have been, Being is and always will be different from what it was before. 
All my life I have simply believed that what is once done can never be undone and that, in fact, everything remains forever. In short, Being has a memory. And thus, even my insignificance -- as a bourgeois child, a laboratory assistant, a soldier, a stagehand, a playwright, a dissident, a prisoner, a president, a pensioner, a public phenomenon, and a hermit, an alleged hero but secretly a bundle of nerves -- will remain here forever, or rather not here, but somewhere. But not, however, elsewhere. Somewhere here.

Saturday, January 21, 2012

Presidents Try to Keep their Campaign Promises

Does it matter that Mitt Romney has promised to be a hard-right President if he is elected? Lots of people in both parties seem to think that no matter what he is promising now, he will serve in office as the moderate he used to be. But history suggests otherwise:
Political scientist Jonathan Bernstein argues that the evidence on this point is clear: “Presidents usually try to enact the policies they advocate during the campaign.”

We can all think of exceptions, of course. George H.W. Bush told the country to read his lips — a turn of speech that’s always confused me, incidentally; is lip-reading really so much more accurate than listening? — and then he raised taxes anyway. But such betrayals are not the rule.

Bernstein relies on two studies from the 1980s to make his point. In 1984, Michael Krukones published “Promises and Performance: Presidential Campaigns as Policy Predictors,” and found that “about 75 percent of the promises made by presidents from Woodrow Wilson through Jimmy Carter were kept.” In 1985, Jeff Fishel published “Presidents and Promises: From Campaign Pledge to Presidential Performance,” which argued “that presidents invariably attempt to carry out their promises; the main reason some pledges are not redeemed is congressional opposition, not presidential flip-flopping.”
The current President is keeping the trend:
Politifact.com has tracked more than 500 promises Barack Obama made during the 2008 presidential campaign. It found he has kept 161, passed a compromised version of another 50, and has either been rebuffed by Congress or is making progress toward another 239. In only 56 cases — about 10 percent — has Obama actually broken a promise, and in the biggest of those cases — ending the Bush tax cuts for families making more than $250,000 — there’s a good chance the promise will be kept when the tax cuts expire at the end of this year.
So odds are that Mitt would try to pass some of the very scary tax and spending cuts he has promised.

Fu Baoshi: Traditional Chinese Painting in an Era of Revolution

Fu Baoshi (1904-1965) was one of the most important painters of China's revolutionary era and one of Mao's favorite artists. You can perhaps see why in Heaven and Earth Glow Read, 1964 (above), which fuses a traditional Chinese eye with Maoist iconography.

 
On the other hand Fu, who had been an apprentice in a decoration shop, went to Japan in 1933-35 to study art, and everything I have read points to Japanese influences on his style. Considering that Japan was already occupying Manchuria in 1933, and that most Chinese people with any sort of Japanese connection were purged after 1945, it is interesting to me that Fu was able to remain prominent; after the Revolution he was one of the leaders of the Federation of Chinese Artists. Above, some of the many Fu works I have found online without title or date.

Like any Chinese artist of traditional bent, Fu Baoshi was a scholar as much as a creator. He was an expert on Tang Dynasty painting, and some of his landscapes have the feel of that era. I haven't been able to find titles or dates for these. Fu did many others like them, and you can see more here.

This is an interesting work, based in the most traditional Chinese way on a line from a classic poem, but rendered with a more spare and Japanese sensibility. Crows in a Willow, 1944.

 
I like this painting very much: Landscape of the Four Seasons, 1950.

 
Fu also did paintings in this dark, brooding style, and I would like very much to know if these were done before or after those Tang-like scrolls. But I can't find dates for any of them, and only a title for the one on top, On a Lake, I Listen to the Sound of Rain.

This is a jarring image: Electric Towers, rendered in the style we associate with imperial tea houses. It also sums up Fu Baoshi's project, of becoming a modern artist while staying true to the ancient traditions of Chinese art. I think he succeeded brilliantly.

19 Percent of Americans Will Believe Anything

According to this poll, 19% of Americans think President Obama is Muslim, including 35% of Republicans, 16% of Independents, and 9% of Democrats.

Winter at Last

Looking out the window this morning at a yard covered with white, Clara said, "It's Christmas Day!"

Actually the white is mostly ice, more crunchy and slippery than fluffy and fun. But at least something other than rain finally fell.


The Staffordshire Hoard in Washington

Yesterday I slipped over to the National Geographic museum in Washington, DC to see part of the Staffordshire Hoard. It is a not a large exhibit but it is well put together, with some excellent videos explaining what we know and don't know about the hoard. Even though I have spent plenty of time staring at photographs of these objects, it was still exciting them in person.

I found myself most impressed by the fine filigree work on some of the pieces. These designs are made with gold wire, some of it less than a millimeter thick, arrayed in complex designs. Without my glasses I could not even see these designs, and this got me wondering who did it and how.

Was this work mainly done by boys, like the finest lace was once made by young girls? Was goldwork a profession for the myopic? One of the experts in the exhibit videos speculates that maybe doing this work from the age of seven made the artisans short-sighted.

The wire was made by twisting and rolling sheets of gold, and this gives it the bumpy appearance.

However these objects were made, and by whom, they are a beautiful reminder of how noble men once equipped themselves for battle, with gold and gems as well as spears and shields.

Are Football and Basketball Eating the University?

Lots of hand-wringing in the ivory towers this year over big-time college sports; the chancellor of the University of Maryland system recently said, “We’ve reached a point where big-time intercollegiate athletics is undermining the integrity of our institutions, diverting presidents and institutions from their main purpose.” Some of the dark muttering springs from the scandal at Penn State, which I think is a bit silly. People at Penn State acted wrongly, but they have been fired for it and face prosecution; what major institution in our world doesn't have a problem with sexual abuse?

I used to be one of those snobs who called for the abolition of big-time sports, but I have changed my mind. Certainly the big, competitive programs carry with them the risk of corruption; but that is a reason to be vigilant against corruption, not give up the whole enterprise. Yes, on some campuses athletics comes to overshadow academics for many students; but how many of those students would be more passionate about Economics and English if football was removed?

My college life was dominated by learning, which I pursued with a passion, along with Dungeons & Dragons, making friends, and chasing women. I played soccer for a while, but otherwise I paid no attention to sports, watched no television, and never listened to the radio. And I was in heaven. But in the end, what did it matter to the world? It turns out that our society has an oversupply of would-be professors and writers. I love the esoteric learning I acquired, and I am deeply grateful to the schools I attended for teaching it to me. But I am not sure that it either made me a better person or made America a better place.

College for most Americans is a place to do four years of growing up in an enriched environment, to learn something about the world, to make friends, to prepare for the world of work, and to have fun. It is foolish to think that the average student will subsume him or herself in learning in the way that I and my friends did. A small, elite college may be able to create an atmosphere of separation from commercial values and mass culture, but that is not going to happen at a big university. For most students, involvement in college sports is crowding out, not learning, but television, web surfing, partying, and other sorts of amusement.

It is through sports, more than any other way, that big universities create a sense of community. Since I think the lack of community is one of the great curses of modern life are, I can't really see this as a bad thing. Universities promote sports because they create a sense of belonging to something among both students and alumni that opens their hearts and wallets toward the school. It is only in some professors' dream worlds that philosophy and biology can do that. Sports also gives modern people the ecstatic experiences that philosophers Hubert Dreyfus and Sean Dorrance call "whooshing up," and that they and I think are essential to a full human life.

Whatever might be said against college football and basketball, they make millions of people happy for a few hours every week. They give people a piece of identity they can use in assembling themselves; they bring excitement to humdrum lives; they strengthen the university community. They are important to us, and so they will survive, whatever professors and moralists think.

Friday, January 20, 2012

Silver Favorites

One of Lourens Alma-Tadema's Victorian masterpieces that invoke the lazy life of cultured millionaires -- in Roman garb but, some would say, more expressing the values of his own time.

Columbine as a Folie à deux

Interesting article by Dave Cullen on Slate about the psychology of the Columbine killers. Cullen argues that the plan emerged from a sort of folie à deux between Eric Harris, a complete sociopath, and Dylan Klebold, a depressive, suicidal hothead. It was the combination of their two, very different personalities that was so explosive.

Newt's Private Life, or, Does it Matter if a Politician is a Scumbag?

In general I am not interested in the private lives of public figures. Read any history and you will discover that many revered figures had disastrous marriages, putrid family lives, massive infidelities, and so on. Thomas Jefferson had a whole second family with his favorite slave. When Admiral Nelson wasn't saving Britain from Napoleon, he was humiliating his wife by appearing in public with his beautiful mistress. Martin Luther King, Jr. took a string of lovers as he traveled the country preaching freedom in black churches, all meticulously documented by the FBI men who were tailing him for J. Edgar Hoover.

So I don't think Newt Gingrich's horrible behavior as a husband in itself disqualifies him as a leader. If I were a Republican primary voter, I would certainly worry that once his infidelity, hypocrisy and casual cruelty become widely known, it might get millions of apolitical people to vote against him, and I would prefer someone without such baggage as my nominee. But then all the other candidates have their own problems.

But his marital grotesqueries are not the only peculiar thing about Newt Gingrich, and this brings me to the theoretical question of what part private lives play in evaluating public figures. I do think that the character or personality of leaders matters. Not in the sense that a man with bad private behavior can't be a great leader; I think he can. But however carefully they prepare themselves for the issues they expect to face, Presidents always end up dealing with the unexpected. Often this happens under crisis conditions, and when it does their character can count for more than their positions on the predictable issues. George W. Bush's incurious, moralistic, bloody-minded, us vs. them attitude toward the world ended up mattering more for America than his campaign promises. I find Obama's intense self-discipline and calm demeanor very reassuring.

So while I am completely uninterested in whether Elliot Spitzer or David Vitter visited prostitutes, I find that the sordid details of Gingrich's second marriage help fill out the picture of who he is. Gingrich is a megalomaniac, and something close to a sociopath in his utter disregard of the rules as they apply to himself. His treatment of his first two wives is of a piece with how he has treated everyone over the course of his career. He was fired by his colleagues in the House for pretty much the same reason his marriages collapsed: because he is completely untrustworthy, lacks any self-discipline whatsoever, and can convince himself that whatever he wants today is absolutely necessary for the salvation of western civilization. One of his main talking points during this campaign has been his scheme to defund or abolish any court that ruled his policies unconstitutional. Nobody else is allowed to make rules that limit what Newt can do, not his wives, not the courts, not the writers of the constitution. I think that matters is deciding whether he should be our president.

Thursday, January 19, 2012

George R.R. Martin, A Dance with Dragons

I just finished the exhausting experience that is George R.R. Martin’s A Dance with Dragons, the fifth volume of his gigantic epic, A Song of Ice and Fire. I enjoyed it; the time I spent listening to the book was the best part of many recent mid-winter days. In places it sent my imagination soaring. But at the end I find myself more annoyed and frustrated than pleased.

A Song of Ice and Fire is not like other books. Reading any volume of this monstrous epic is something like climbing Mount Everest, weeks of grueling effort enlivened by glimpses of wonder and the odd shooting pain. Or like one of those World Cup soccer matches that goes on for 89 minutes of brilliant but scoreless play, your tension and frustration growing with each passing minute, until at the end the other team scores and you fall into mourning over your side’s loss.

By my count Martin’s epic has now reached 4,839 pages, and it is nowhere near finished. The story is immense, with dozens of memorable characters who travel across a continent’s worth of fascinating places, doing many amazing things. Even told sparingly it would amount to over a thousand pages. Martin’s style, though, is so far the opposite of spare that I cannot even think of a word for it. An example: toward the end of the most recent volume, one character enters a hall that was once, long ago, lined with the shields of knights, and Martin lists dozens of the heraldic devices that adorned those shields. And when you get to the end of this paragraph-length list, you remember that these are not there any more, but disappeared so long ago that no character in the book can even remember them. The whole epic nearly drowns in descriptions: of food, clothes, weapons, armor, banquet halls, boats, buildings, ruins, trees, flowers, and every other sort of irrelevant detail. Characters can never drink wine without our being told of its color and quality, nor eat bread without our being told how long it has been out of the oven. Everyone who appears must be named, from the cup bearers to the boatmen to the corpses that wash up on the beach. When one second-rank character tries to train a bunch of orphans to be knights, Martin tells us not only the names of all the orphans but their strengths and weaknesses in swordfighting.

Nothing happens for vast stretches. Martin uses an ever-growing repertoire of tricks to keep things from happening: characters fall into months of indecision or go on long sea voyages, commanders are assassinated just as their armies are about to march, and when armies do march they bog down in the snow or get mired in interminable sieges. The dragons of Daenerys Targaryen represent the possibility of things happening rapidly, so in the latest volume a way had to be found to render them impotent for 900 pages. Daenerys spends the whole book stuck in a side eddy to the main plot that I found so frustrating I started skipping whole paragraphs of her story. Tyrion Lannister, the dwarf who may be Martin’s greatest creation, spends most of the book traveling on various boats, wasting his witty conversation on merchants, mercenaries, and whores. And in the end another of my favorite characters is killed.

Martin has, I think, a strong sadistic streak. He can’t resist subjecting his characters to one terrible ordeal after another: torture, rape, betrayal, agonized death. The story began back in Volume I with the noble Stark family of Winterfell, and I just loved them. But they unravel like a sock as Martin pulls ever harder on their loose threads, losing one member after another until, by the end of Book V, there is little left of them. And this is not like one of those Russian novels in which a family fails through dissipation, lechery, and bad investments. No, the Starks remain noble, honorable, and true as they are felled by assassins, treacherously slain, executed by murderous tyrants, and generally ground under the heel of fate. Not that the wicked characters fare much better, and most of the criminals end up dying so painfully that it’s hard to keep hating them. Martin’s only soft spot seems to be for his dragon queen, whose ordeals turn out to be less unpleasant, and victories sweeter, than anyone else’s.

So why do I keep reading? Because there is nothing else like it. The sheer size of it gives it a richness that few other stories have, and also a quality of realism. Most novels that deal with politics radically simplify the action to fit it within a reasonably-sized book, so we end up with a cardboard conflict between two or three people out of a whole kingdom. But Martin, who recognizes no reasonable limits, can give his Westeros a full suite of political actors: half a dozen great families, each with its own internal squabbles, loyal followers, and traitors; scheming exiles; knightly families whose loyalties are sought by various lords; old institutions with their own agendas; and so on. Each great family has its own family drama, and each family member has a distinct personality. Martin also knows enough history to give his noble characters plausible motivations. They act like real noblemen acted in times of civil war, balancing their desire to be on the winning side with their ambition for office, their greed for gold, and the honor of keeping oaths and fulfilling old obligations. I have read dozens of novels that were supposed to be about courtly intrigue, written by people who know nothing about what aristocrats were really like, and I am sick of them. It is a huge relief to read Martin’s descriptions of political action and feel that, yes, this is what a nobleman from an old family might really have done. The scale also allows Martin to tell us more than just the few crucial events that generally make up a historical narrative, filling his pages with the kind of minor but possibly portentous events — a lord changes sides, a castle is taken — that would have dominated the conversation of the people who lived through such times.

Martin brilliantly balances real-world grittiness with the possibility of wonderful magic. His soldiers are gruff, his jailers cruel, his thugs brutal. City streets are dirty, peasants are poor, and rotten, broken teeth are everywhere. The main political conflict is carried on almost entirely by mundane means like bribery, flattery, assassination, and war. Yet off on the edges of the map are wonders: the great Wall and the wild men beyond it, the dead things that lurk in the heart of winter, Daenerys and her dragons. A few artifacts linger from the lost age of Old Valyria, when dragon lords controlled their beasts with magic horns and fought with shining swords. There are omens, prophecies, and prophets. It is enough to give the story a glow of magic without overwhelming the deeds of ordinary, non-magic men and women.

Martin’s artistic brutality also helps to keep you on the edge of your seat. There is nothing so mean, horrible, or grim that he won’t do it, nobody too important to kill (except, I think, Daenerys), no plot twist too shocking for him to employ. The great length also allows him to give important scenes the slow treatment they deserve, drawing out suffering until it really feels like suffering, making long, arduous marches seem truly long and arduous. Because of the length of the sections and the threat of authorial cruelty hanging over every character, it is easy to feel their pains and fears. The future looks confusing and scary to almost every character, and it does to the reader, too.

So if there is ever another volume, I will probably slog through that one, too. But I venture to predict that Martin will never finish A Song of Ice and Fire. The story has so far grown like a bush, with new branches sprouting off in every direction; in just this latest volume we meet three new claimants to the throne of Westeros. A few things are resolved at the end, but more are left hanging. By my count there are as the book ends two long voyages still under way, two other major characters lost in mysterious circumstances, two more on the run we know not where, two fleets on their way to battle, two pending trials for treason, and three major land assaults still in suspended animation. This is not the work of a man eager to bring his story to an end.

Martin started out saying this would be a trilogy, and when this fifth book came out he said there would be two more, but I was just told by another fan that he is now saying there will have to be an eighth book. Martin was born in 1948, so he is already 63, and each of the last two books was five years in the writing. One look at the guy and you know he’s not likely to make it to 78. Even if he did, he would probably decide that a ninth book or a tenth or a fifteenth was really necessary to tell the story as he imagined it. Let’s face it, he is enjoying stretching out this story to unheard-of lengths, and so that is what he is going to keep doing, for as long as he has the strength to keep typing. I will probably read every word.

Why Online Piracy is a Good Thing

Matt Yglesias takes on SOPA and PIPA:
There’s no evidence that the United States is currently suffering from an excessive amount of online piracy, and there is ample reason to believe that a non-zero level of copyright infringement is socially beneficial. . . . any effort to actually eliminate it would be a cure much worse than the disease. 
Much of the debate about SOPA and PIPA has thus far centered around the entertainment industry’s absurdly inflated claims about the economic harm of copyright infringement. When making these calculations, intellectual property owners tend to assume that every unauthorized download represents a lost sale. This is clearly false. Often people copy a file illegally precisely because they’re unwilling to pay the market price. Were unauthorized copying not an option, they would simply not watch the movie or listen to the album.

Critics of industry estimates have repeatedly made this point and argued against the inflated figures used by SOPA and Protect IP boosters. But an equally large problem is the failure to consider the benefits to illegal downloading. . . .

The benefits of forcing copyright holders to compete with free-but-illegal downloads are considerable. I am not, personally, in the habit of infringing on copyrights (though I will cop to some book lending and the fact that my fiancée and I, like any sensible couple, share Netflix and Hulu subscriptions) but recently have found myself firing up btjunkie.org again. Why? Because the BBC in its infinite wisdom decided to start airing Season 2 of its excellent program Sherlock in the United Kingdom without making it available at any price to Americans. That’s dumb, but until relatively recently it was a universal problem.  It used to be that studios and labels didn’t make their wares available to people willing to pay for them. That created an underground market for pirated TV shows and music. The pirated market, in turn, pressured the entertainment industry to create legal options such as iTunes and Hulu. The illegal competition is a valuable consumer pressure on the industry.
This last I think is very important. For decades the music industry forced people to buy whole albums or cds to get any single song, and it was only illegal downloading that forced them to allow us to buy single songs at a reasonable price.