Monday, October 10, 2016
Checking in with the Electoral Map
I have seen it asserted that the problem is the state map, and there have been substantial shifts in voter behavior within certain states, but I have seen no real evidence. And it seems to me that any major shift between, say, suburbs vs. rural areas ought to show up at the state level, since the states contain different mixes of suburbs and rural areas.
It seems to me that until the parties change in a fundamental way that shakes people's allegiances, the map is the map is the map, and the election comes down to Florida, Ohio, and a few other places.