Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Things Happening in the Middle East

Successful Iranian attacks against oil infrastructure are multiplying: here, here, here, here, here

Oil prices are rising and stock prices are bouncing around. (NY Times, CNBC)

Seems clear that neither the US nor our Gulf allies have enough cheap ways to shoot down drones, leading us to shoot $4 million Patriot interceptors at $100,000 drones. We have programs to create better anti-drone defenses, and I have written about them here, but we don't seem to have procured them in anything like the numbers needed for such a war. 

Riots in Bahrain as the Shi'ite majority protests their country's involvement in the war against Iran. Did anybody plan for this?

Turns out that the FBI agents Kash Patel recently purged for investigating Trump's document dump at Mar-a-Lago were from an elite counter-terrorism group called CI-12 with expertise in Iran

Trump says in the same post that 1) US weapons stockpiles are sufficient, and 2) they are depleted because Biden sent too many weapons to Ukraine. 

Three US F-15 fighters were shot down by Kuwaiti air defense. The pilots survived.

I see floundering men drowning in their own foolish hubris.

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