tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8304928500646903522.post49913949776704887..comments2024-03-28T18:32:05.933-04:00Comments on bensozia: What the Smart People Said about the Pandemic in AprilJohnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01037215533094998996noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8304928500646903522.post-453556097286566532020-06-29T05:43:40.087-04:002020-06-29T05:43:40.087-04:00There are a number of possible causes for a lower ...There are a number of possible causes for a lower death rate. <br /><br />Some thoughts and guesses on lower death rates.<br /><br />(1) Younger people are getting infected.<br />(2) Health care workers are figuring out better ways to treat Covid. <br />(3) As Covid eliminates low hanging fruit -- nursing home residents and workers -- the death rate has to fall. Nursing home counts are an almost unmentioned national disgrace. Last I looked, there were 14 states whose nursing home casualties accounted for more than 50% of their covid deaths. (Can't remember where I read that. Maybe here.)<br />(4) There is also the possibility that people are getting reinfected. They might be less likely to die, because their immune systems know something about the disease. <br />(5) Related to (4) -- the longer Covid hangs around the less novel it is. That it is new might be its most deadly feature. <br />(6) We've been chasing our tail on transmission counts. But as we catch up and get a truer count of the actual number of infections, the death rate is bound to fall. <br /><br />Shadowhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05353532874773316117noreply@blogger.com